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Posted by on Oct 15, 2026 in Blog | 0 comments

2026 NFL Analysis and Picks: Week 6

 

 

2026-27 NFL SEASON: WEEK 6 – ANALYSIS AND PICKS

2026-27 NFL BETTING RECORD:
WINS — 42
LOSSES — 36
PUSH — 2
NET WIN/LOSS — – $25.
LAST WEEK’S RESULTS — 10-5-0 (+ $455)
STARTING BANKROLL: $10,000.
CURRENT BANKROLL: $9,975.

ALL WAGERS ARE FOR $100 EACH AND ARE PRICED AT THE STANDARD 110/100 VIG, (UNLESS NOTED OTHERWISE)

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THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL (THREE BETS)
SEATTLE at DENVER
Line: Seahawks -2.5
O/U: 40.5

This is an intriguing TNF matchup. Football fans and bettors have been blessed with multiple good games this season, and this is just the latest in a succession of midweek contests with several factors and angles which have to be weighed together in making decisions about where to place our money.

First, let’s look at the visiting favorites. Seattle (3-2) seems out of sync. The running game has been non-existent. OL play has been erratic — 4 sacks allowed last week. Eight sacks in the last two games. Dumb penalties. And turnovers have killed this team — 4 last week, and 3 in the loss at Washington a few weeks ago. The defense has also surrendered big plays and struggled when up against strong competition. It appears Seattle is favored here for one reason only — which is their Super Bowl trophy from last season. Other than that, this team doesn’t deserve to be favored on the road based on their inconsistent performances.

Denver (3-2) has been just as erratic. That was an ugly win last week at the LA Chargers, which was a very lackluster effort. The yardage numbers stank. The Broncs average less than 20 PPG this season, which isn’t going to cut it in today’s NFL. However, I’ll cut the Broncos some slack coming off a tough game at San Francisco the previous week. And even though they could very well be 1-4 right now, let’s credit Denver for two home wins, so far — beating both Jacksonville and LA Rams which most will agree are strong opponents.

Neither offense inspires confidence right now. That’s one reason the total dropped from 42.5 down a few points to 40.5. The weather forecast is also worth keeping a close watch on with possible rain and temps in the 30s. Wind also could factor.

Given the possibility of both passing games being impacted, we could see more rushing on both sides — especially by Seattle. This expectation will motivate a few player prop wagers. Denver’s rush defense has uncharacteristically been gashed (146 YPG, ranking 29th in the NFL) combined with allowing 4.7 YPC. Those are awful number for a defense that was supposed to be Denver’s strength. Look for Seahawks to test this weakness.

Most attention will shine on Seattle’s primary ball carrier Emanuel Wilson, but I’ll look at the other RB to get enough carries to break a very low rushing yardage total. George Holani played a miserable game last week, including two fumbles, including a costly killer in the Hawks’ end zone. Yet, he’s the only replacement for Zach Chabronnet (still injured and unlikely to play). Someone has to take an extra few carries, and Holani should get the ball. Projection is low at 5-6 carries. He’s played three games with 4-7-3 carries respectively, for just 36 yards. It’s important to keep in mind However—–Seattle was playing from behind in two of those games, so his rushing yardage would expect to be low. We presume Seattle won’t have to play catch up in a game where they’re favored this week, or at least there’s a better chance of more rush attempts late in the game (a big factor in RB props). Add Denver’s vulnerability to the run, and it’s reasonable to expect Holani gets the ball enough carries to break a very low yardage O/U…..which is just 12.5 yards. Note that I’ve been focusing more on *secondary running backs* this season with some success and when the conditions appear optimal, we should look to them as hidden OVER bets. That’s my best player prop in this game.

I’m also going to be a bit more aggressive on this prop, making a “combo yardage” bet for Holani, as well. He’s listed at O/U 24.5 yards, which means yardage gained both rushing and passing. In his fill-in role, he’s made 7 catches for 53 yards over three games. Assuming a 7 TPC average, we need 2 catches to go along with 4 or 5 rushes and we should get the money. Obviously, we are hoping for one breakaway run to cash both tickets. If Holani is on the field for most snaps, he should combine for at least 25+ yards over a full game expected to be close where Seattle runs the ball a fair amount.

Total thoughts—I can see betting the UNDER here, and I would expect that weather is uncertain and if it’s clear by kickoff, this total could go back up a point or two. I’ll skip the totals temptation and instead concentrate on two connected RB props.

In summary:

– Weather could factor, especially wind (if so, expect more rushing)
– Denver’s rush defense is poor statistically, meaning Seattle should test this weakness
– Seattle’s backup RB is starting as the #2 in the backfield and should get carries/targets
– This RB (Holani) comes off a miserable game, setting up perhaps a more motivated and focused bounce-back effort this week
– Very low player totals for anyone who is a starter, which is certainly breakable with any decent stats

Wagers:

– Player Prop: SEA RB Holani OVER 12.5 rushing yards (-115)
– Player Prop: SEA RB Holani OVER 24.5 combo rushing/receiving yards (-115)

Adding One More Wager: Denver has been a slow-starting team. As in WORST in the league. They’re also coming off a division road win, which is sometimes a good fade situation. The opponent Seattle has been a decent first-half team, whereas Denver ranks LAST IN THE NFL in first-half scoring, at just 4.6 points per game. This should be a tough test for Denver in the 1H to field an offense that’s struggled early in games, and now faces one of the best stop units in the league. The current spread is Seattle -1.5 in the first-half. I believe the Seahawks are worth a bet based on how these teams have performed in the first 30 minutes of their games, so I’m laying the points in a rare wager on the 1H favorite.

– First-Half Side: SEA -1.5 (-115) v. DEN

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NOTE:  MORE PICKS WILL BECOMING UP, THROUGH SATURDAY

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See all write-ups and picks for this week (completed by Saturday morning–so check back for updates:
CLICK HERE

Here’s a great deal, and it’s free: Signup at Betcoin.ag today using promo code NOLAN for free entry to the $10,000 NFL Confidence Pool – Scores reset after each week, so it’s never too late to join.
CLICK HERE

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Posted by on Oct 14, 2026 in Blog | 0 comments

Las Vegas Voter Guide (For Progressives)

 

 

LAS VEGAS VOTER GUIDE (FOR PROGRESSIVES)

It occurred to me that many voters (like me) want to vote for progressive candidates in most, if not all elections. However, with so many races, including multiple non-partisan contests, it’s difficult to know which candidates best align with our views.

In the past, I admit to knowing absolutely nothing about many of the races (such as judges, ballot measures, etc.). My guess is — I’m not alone. I’ve made the mistake of voting anyway, most of the time. When undecided, I used to pull the lever for women, ethnic names, and many Hispanic, Jewish, and Italian surnames. My reasoning was that women, Latinos, Jews, and Italians (there’s a lot of these particular demographics in Las Vegas) were more likely to be liberals along the political spectrum. Just imagine how many times I was wrong!

Well, we can’t assume anything — not anymore. It’s also an abdication of good citizenship to vote in such an irresponsible manner, or to vote in those races at all. Just imagine how many voters do this in so many elections across the country, often resulting in bad results.

Gee, if only there was some “VOTER GUIDE” we could print out and use to make wise decisions……

Voila! Nick Christenson to our rescue!

I’ve known NC for 30 years. He lives nearby. His progressive credentials are impeccable. NC even ran for the Nevada State Assembly a few years ago. He knows the local scene and invests lots of time in liberal causes. Since he’s done the research on these races, I trust his investment of time and assessment for more than my own. I suspect many of you might find this useful.

Accordingly, I am attaching a copy of his voting endorsements below. His comments may prove helpful.

ONE CAVEAT: I will not vote for any Republican in any race. Not this year. I also refuse to vote for any County Commissioner who supported the F1 contract (annual car race that clogs up the Strip for months at a time). If an incumbent Commissioner is running, and opposed by a Republican, I will skip that race. I urge others how are outraged by the F1 fiasco to do the same.

That said, here’s Nick Christenson’s endorsements, which I have edited slightly for space:
__________

 

Hey, Clark County Nevada, it’s election season again! Folks often ask me for my endorsements, so whether you want them or not, here is who I will be voting for this year.

Don’t just rely on my recommendations. There are lots of good organizations making endorsements, and I don’t blanket agree with any of their slates. I recommend Nevada NOW and PLAN Action Fund as thoughtful endorsers. Also, if you’re so inclined, some of the unions that I think do an especially good job of examining candidates include the SEIU and AFLCIO locals.

First, for all the partisan offices, I’m voting straight-ticket Democrat for what I hope are obvious reasons. I think I’ve met everyone with a “DEM” next to their name who is on my ballot this year except for one person, and given the state of the country, this is the no-doubt slam dunk way to go. Just vote for everyone “DEM”, period.

You might have some disagreements with some of the DEM candidates. That’s fine, so do I. Let them know where they’re letting you down in no uncertain terms. There’s not a single one of them where their opponent isn’t literally orders of magnitude worse. Sometimes in a democracy grown-ups have to vote for the least of evils.

Now I’ll discuss contested non-partisan races. I’m not going to deal with uncontested races, do what you want there. In some cases I’ll include brief thoughts. No remarks generally indicates a strong preference on my part.

District Court Dept. 5:
Hibbetts, Tracy
It’s a fair argument that Barisich hasn’t done anything to warrant replacement. Nonetheless, I’m voting for Hibbetts. However, I did a lot of research on this one, and I think it’s very close.

District Court Dept. 8:
Beaumont, Austin
Some of my friends are voting for Peterson. If I were going to court, I’d rather appear before Beaumont.

District Court Dept. 12:
Leavitt, Michelle
I think Gilliam could be a very fine judge. I just don’t see a reason to replace Leavitt. I wish Gilliam had run in some other race, he’d definitely get my endorsement in several other districts.

District Court Dept. 17:
Schwartz, Jennifer

District Court Dept. 21:
Hubert, Alex
I’d be happy to endorse either candidate, but I have to vote for one. This one might have been the hardest one for me to decide. Again, there are other seats I would have rather Hubert run in.

District Court Dept. 23:
Lilly-Spells, Jasmin

District Court Dept. 28:
Tarmu, Danielle A.

District Court Dept. 29:
Quagge, Alex

District Court Dept. 30:
Wiese, II, Jerry A.

District Court Dept. 31:
McLeod, Alexandra Beth

This is another one where I’m on the other side from a bunch of folks I respect. This is also a close one, but, again, if I had a choice of who I’d rather have to appear before, my answer is McLeod.

Family Court Dept. D:
Smith, Gwynneth

Family Court Dept. E:
Hoskin, Charles “Chuck”

Family Court Dept. N:
Maxey, Kerri Jean

Family Court Dept. P:
Isso, Jennifer
To be clear, I endorse neither candidates in this race, and a lot of folks I trust are steering clear of making a recommendation here, and I completely understand why. However, I can’t write someone in here. Knowing what I know, which judge would I rather have to appear before? It’s Isso.

Family Court Dept. R:
Caston, Marilyn A.

Family Court Dept. S:
Forman, Randall

Ballot questions:

Question 6: Hell yes.
Question 7: Hell no.

If you endorse other candidates, great, post about that on your own page. I really don’t want to debate individual candidates here. If folks have questions about other candidates that don’t appear on my ballot, I might or might not have an opinion, feel free to ask about them.

Hope this helps someone a little.

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Posted by on Oct 13, 2026 in Blog | 0 comments

My Short TV Reviews (Fall 2026)

 

 

MY SHORT TV REVIEWS (FALL 2026-UPDATED)

I watched several shows over the last month. Most of these are available on Netflix or Prime. Here’s my updated “reviews” on a few programs and current series you may have also seen, or you might have missed:

THE GENTLEMEN (Season 2) — Was thrilled to see a Season 2 released all at once in September, but after viewing the first four episodes, I stopped watching. I even wrote a scathing (incomplete) review about my disappointment with the Guy Ritchie series and figured it was a great first season that couldn’t sustain the witty, dark, comedic British gangster formula he’s perfected to an art form. Then, I was persuaded to continue, thanks Fruchter, and watched the final four episodes (8 in all). Wow — glad I did. Marvelous turnaround and brilliantly crafted. Episode 6, which is the wedding in Italy is near Godfather-esque. Then, the second season wraps up with enough momentum to leave us gasping, and laughing, and shocked all at the same time in the show’s final scene. Slow start on Episodes 1-4, but riveting in the remaining Episodes 5-8. Grade: A-

SLOW HORSES (Season 6) — Similar reaction to the unconventional British spymaster series…..loved the first few seasons, then it became shark jumping. Almost gave up. Then, Season 6 debuted last month (4 episodes have been released, to date) and my enthusiasm was rekindled. To be clear–this series has multiple annoyances, and I could list several things I dislike about it. However, Gary Oldman as the lead along with Kristen Scott Thomas are enough to keep me glued. Very unusual series of anti-heroes, and difficult to recommend to others, unless you really like offbeat stories and quirky characters. Most of the humor is very subtle, which perhaps is its appeal. Can be frustrating, but when all the parts hit, the dark humor nails it. Grade: B

EAST OF EDEN (Series) — I made it through half of the first episode. Seven parts, Steinbeck’s famous novel, original movie was James Dean’s debut. Wonderfully crafted, masterfully done remake — I just didn’t like the subject matter and lost interest. I never liked the original movie either, but it’s been at the top of the Netflix rankings for awhile. Grade: C-

WHAT’S EATING DAN — Netflix series of rapid-fire shorts on all kinds of foodie subjects — how to shuck oysters, the best way to cook corn on the cob, how to tell if a pepper is too hot, etc. I love this show. Packs a powerful punch, and if you don’t like one episode, it’s only 10-15 minutes long, and you can FF on to the next one. I found all off them entertaining (and often very funny). Great host. Grade: A

THE CHARLES MANSON TAPES — Late one night, bored, I had to watch. Sick, I know. I mean, don’t we know enough about the Manson murders, already? Well, apparently not. I ended up feasting on the entire thing like a smut addict. It was worse than a half gallon of cheap on-sale ice cream–you just devour the whole thing. When’s the next Mason documentary? “Manson! Manson! Manson! We want our Charlie fix!” Movies, books, multiple TV series–this guy is more popular than the Beatles. Grade: B

BIG CHICKEN: A FAST FOOD CONSPIRACY — Here’s another scare bomb warning us about the food we eat, and how we basically torture hundreds of millions of animals for the tasty bucket of KFC. It’s all factual, of course. Trouble is, these docs have become somewhat repetitive. Perhaps that’s the point. Everything is an assembly line of exploitation and cruelty, delivering cheap hamburgers and designer delicacies. I can’t knock the noble intent of the filmmakers nor deny this is important. Perhaps I’m just burned out on being told everything is bad for me. And if Chicken is bad for me, then full confession–I’m much more bad for the chicken. Grade: B-

STOLEN: HEIST OF THE CENTURY — Pretty good documentary about an actual diamond-stealing caper in Europe. Well done, if you enjoy true crime. As with many organized heists, the fun part of the show is finding out which *small detail* the perpetrators forget about, leading to the crime being solved. Grade: B+

THE IDAHO MURDERS — This is the short series about the sicko psycho who senselessly drove across the country for no apparent reasons and killed five students in Idaho. The mystery here is — WHY??? For this reason, the series (3 parts, I think) holds our attention. Message to the Idaho killer: You’re no Charlie Manson (need about a dozen more docs to catch up). Grade: B

EAGLES (HISTORY OF THE) in two parts — Watched this a few nights ago. Wow, I didn’t realize how LITTLE I knew about the Eagles—the music group (not the bird, that’s another series). Extremely well done, with full cooperation from the band, including all members deceased and living. Don’t gloss over the scandals and divisions, shows warts and all, which makes it much better than most rock exposes. This was a more intriguing music doc than I was expecting. There’s also a Part 2, which is about the reunion, also good, but not up to the story of Part 1. Grade: A

TIRES (series) — Received rave reviews as an offbeat comedy (“The Office,” but in an auto shop). I just couldn’t get into it and gave up after a couple of tries. I could be wrong, as I noted before other shows when I stopped watching ended up actually being quite good. Grade: D

THE LINCOLN LAWYER — Finished Season 4 over the summer, but I forgot to write about it, until now. I don’t think this season was as nearly good as the others, but still enough twists and turns and a charismatic cast that has real chemistry to maintain my enthusiasm. Solid formula of connected episodes which usually builds to a thrilling season conclusion (and often a surprise ending). Well crafted, this will keep me interested as long as it continues. Grade: A-

DEPT. Q — Done by “The Queen’s Gambit” writer and director, this is a very dark but intense crime series, which ended Season 1 (Season 2 should be coming soon). I believe it’s 6-7 episodes and starts with a disappearance and the season consists of investigators trying to solve the crime and rescue the victim, assuming they’re alive. I won’t give anything away, but several of the scenes stuck with me, haunting at times. Great villains. Powerful stuff, though dark and somewhat troubling–as in nightmare possibilities. Grade: A-

MAYDAY –– Lengthy series (20 seasons, lots of shows!) about plane crashes. Documents the anatomy of all the famous air disasters in history, plus quite a few we’ve never heard of, or we have forgotten. Extremely well done, in a detective sense (why did that plane crash, then the NTSB decipher the clues of each crash). Only scary thing is….knowing there were enough plane crashes TO FILL 20 SEASONS OF A TV SERIES! Wife got hooked on this, then said, “I never want to fly again.” Makes you fear a tiny $3 bolt falling off the cargo door could bring down a packed jumbo 747 into the Atlantic. Gee–who knew hydraulic fluid was so important? That sort of bad-luck mystery and apparent randomness of life is the hook of the show, and disturbing but also mesmerizing. Think CSI for air crash fetishists. Grade: A

I’ll do more of these *short* reviews is people are interested. Feel free to share your own, including best and worst. Maybe I should do my own “awards” at the end of each year.

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Posted by on Oct 12, 2026 in Blog | 0 comments

Musk Fucked, Get’s Mad, Finally Doth Protest Too Much

 

 

FUCK YOU, MUSK

So, the “Trillionaire Turd” is all pissed off.

Oh, my!

Data centers in Russia get blown up by Ukrainian drones, and the MAGA MUSKRAT objects.

Meanwhile…..

…..three-plus years of Russia/Putin invading a sovereign country

……countless deliberate brutal attacks on civilian apartment buildings that murdered tens of thousands

….an environmental catastrophe and nearly a nuclear meltdown

…..the orchestrated reductions of hospitals and schools to rubble

…..the deliberate kidnapping off infants and children and shipping them off to Russia

…..and being *personally* responsible for more than a million deaths on both sides of an insane war….

—— and the vile dysfunctional madman NEVER says a word, nor raises a single word of protest, nor EVER posted any objections. Not once.

Murder hundreds of thousands — STONE COLD SILENCE. Versus: The guy who is under attack strikes back at data centers and computer banks — WOAH! YOU’VE GONE TOO FAR!

This is the same piece of South Afrikkkan shit who has already given REPUBLICANS and MAGA trash lapdogs a whopping $275+ million in financial support in THIS 2026 election alone…..and he now claims Ukraine/Zelensky “went too far.”

Suck a megabytle, your miserable fuck.

What likely pisses him off most is how this hurts his own DISINFORMATION WAR all the many bombardments of 24/7 bots, memes, troll garbage, and social media pro-Trump propaganda and sludge that often ORIGINATES in these poisonous data centers IN RUSSIA polluting the American political system. They are spread all over MAGA sites, shared my low information idiots and dirt dumb Trumpers.

THAT’S why he’s upset. He got outplayed. And he sure doesn’t give a shit about lives or people or suffering or death. He’s a psychopath.

Fuck him.

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Posted by on Oct 12, 2026 in Blog | 0 comments

Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner (Part 3) — Billy Crystal

 

 

GUESS WHO’S COMING TO DINNER:
MY DREAM INVITE LIST (Part 3)

Thanks for joining me once again and reading my new writing series, which continues today.

“Name ten people you would invite to a lavish dinner for a night of great conversation.”

Time for Part 3, and my third pick for the greatest dinner and conversation of all time:

BILLY CRYSTAL

Explanation: Billy Crystal is far from my favorite comedian, actor, or entertainment personality. But take the sum of all his parts, and he’s dynamite. Few performers have played so many different roles in stand-up, movies (comedy and drama), television, on Broadway, hosting the Academy Awards, and delivers such authenticity in every appearance. As a dinner guest, one can only imagine the stories and the people he’s encountered over the decades since his first professional gig 56 years ago. To me, he’s the perfect dinner guest.

Some facts I learned, and you may not know about — BILLY CRYSTAL:

– age 78

– born in New York City

– father was a jazz producer and promoter who owned Commodore Music Store and Commodore Records

– regularly welcomed Billie Holiday and other jazz greats inside the family home

– father lost everything with decline of jazz’s popularity and new music stores opened up in the 1960s

– attended Marshall University (in West Virginia) on a baseball scholarship

– transferred to New York University where he met his wife (graduated in 1970)

– one of his Fine Arts Department instructors at NYU was Martin Scorsese, and was in the same classes alongside Oliver Stone and Christopher Guest

– started out as an improv comedian, then started doing impressions. He perfected the famous Muhammed Ali-Howard Cosell routine, which got him invited to his first “Tonight Show” in 1976, then later most of the “Dean Martin Roasts”

– guested on numerous television shows in the 70s — “All in the Family,” “The Love Boat,” and others. Was casted full time on a controversial show titled “Soap”….his role was one of the first openly gay characters on television

– appeared on popular afternoon TV game show “The $10,000 Pyramid” and still holds the record to this day as the fastest contestant partner to reach the top cash prize — six clues and right answers in just 26 seconds!

– came up with lounge lizard’s schmaltzy catch-phrase line “You look….maaahhvelous!” on the spot in a SNL skit

– first movie role was playing a pregnant man in Joan Rivers’ film “Rabbit Test”

– hosted the annual Academy Awards ceremony nine times. He’s often regarded as one of the best hosts in history, praised for his impeccable timing and good judgement. Many of his best ad lib lines became classics

– memorable films roles in “The Princess Bride,” “When Harry Met Sally,” “City Slickers,” “Analyze This,” and more

– appeared in both Jay Leno’s very first show, and very last show

– Directed “61,” a film documentary about Roger Maris breaking Babe Ruth’s home run record.

– produced two best-selling jazz compilations of old recordings made by his family of Billie Holiday and others.

– said the hardest thing he ever did onstage was paying tribute to close friend and fellow comedy legend Robin Williams in a live telecast. “I was really worried I wasn’t going to get through it,” he later said.

– co-founder and huge supporter of “Comic Relief,” a charity that provides assistance to many comedians going through tough times and for homeless people

– numerous honors and awards, including one of the Kennedy Center honorees in 2023

– huge baseball fan and lifelong New York Yankees fan. Was signed to a one-day contract by the Yankees on his 60th birthday and even made a plate appearance in a spring training game against the Pirates (he struck out)

– met Mickey Mantle as a kid, who was his childhood hero and they later became good friends–Crystal delivered the eulogy at his funeral

– author of five books

– married in 1970, still married after 56 years, two daughters

– their home was totally destroyed in the terrible Pacific Palisades Fire (2025)

– has endorsed candidates and appeared in many political commercials, almost entirely Democrats

 

Crystal is always a great interview subject. But his best talent might be his spontaneity, rooted in his sketch comedy days and improv style act. In this interview CLICK HERE, he tells the famous story of hosting the Oscars live in front of millions of people, and disaster strikes. Great story. Classic Crystal.

Finally, there’s always something a little deeper about Crystal when he’s really “on.” Maybe it’s between the lines. A delayed reaction. It’s like we get the inside joke, and we’re privileged to be a part of it. I also really admire his ability to be funny, but never vulgar. A throwback to the classic comedians, he rarely uses profanity in his act or in any roles.

I’m really liking my guest list, so far. I’ve now got three of my ten seats filled:

1. ALICE COOPER
2. NEIL DEGRASSE TYSON
3. BILLY CRYSTAL

More coming soon.

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