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Posted by on Feb 3, 2013 in Blog, Sports Betting | 4 comments

NFL Plays: Super Bowl XLVII

Louisiana Superdome

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

94 WINS – 87 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 22.6 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $12,260. —– (+$2,260)

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  13-7-0

 

Comments:  Despite the hype, this is my least favorite week of the NFL season.  Betting is reduced to a single game.  Give me any week of the regular season when there are a dozen or so games to chose from and a multitude of options.  That said, the Super Bowl does provide some interesting opportunities for proposition bettors.  That’s where the real money is to be made.  I have four recommendations for this game.

 

SUPER BOWL WAGERS:

 

Baltimore +4 vs. San Francisco (-110) — for 2 units

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Posted by on Jan 18, 2013 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Plays — Championship Games

Snow Game

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

93 WINS – 87 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 15.6 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $11,560. —– (+$1,560)

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  12-7-0

 

Comments:  Last week’s Atlanta non-cover was one of the toughest beats of the season.  One of the most difficult things to do is get back on the same team again that blew it so badly the week before.  I normally would take Atlanta here at +3.5 as the attractive home dog.  But I’ve lost all confidence in the Falcons, particularly head coach Mike Smith’s ability to manage a big game.  Accordingly, this will be a no play for me.  In the other championship game, I would take Baltimore plus the points, but the value is now gone with the line drop all the way from +9.5 to +7.5.  No play.  I have just one totals wager for the championship games.

 

BALTIMORE / NEW ENGLAND UNDER 51 (-110) — for 7 units  <BEST BET OF THE WEEK>

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Posted by on Jan 12, 2013 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Picks — Divisional Round Playoffs

 Atlanta Falcons

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

92 WINS – 85 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 25.6 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $12,560.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  12-6-0

Comments:  3-1 last week, although I was very lucky to win the Cincinnati first-half wager.  Moving on to the next round, I’m making three plays this week.  I will also play Houston is the line hits +10.  But this will not be counted in the results at the site (current line is New England -9.5).

THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:

ATLANTA -2.5 vs. SEATTLE (-120) — for 8 units  <BEST BET OF THE WEEK>

Line opened as low as -1 in some places, and quickly went up to -2.  It’s -2.5 with heavy juice and money is still flowing in on the Falcons.  Highly advisable to bet this soon, before it hits -3 by gametime.  This wager is purely situational.  Even a line of -3 is suggesting these are two equal teams (three points for home field advantage).  As impressive as Seattle has been the last two months, the better overall team is still Atlanta.  Several things favor them this week, which in my view should have this line closer to -4.  I don’t recall any conference top seed game to be lined this low as a home favorite in a divisional playoff game.  The week’s rest doesn’t always help teams, but I think it favors the Falcons strongly as the team probably need a break to refocus.  Seattle also comes in with a terrible travel disadvantage, making three cross country flights in eight days.  That’s not always a backbreaker — but going East is usually tougher for the road team.  Seattle also enters some unfamilair territory here, going inside the dome where home crowd will help Falcons.  I also like Atlanta’s pass-heavy attack, which should be successful at home.  Falcons have been a bust in the playoffs in recent years, but they have usually had to face the conference’s best team, and therefore struggled.  They’re not inferior in this spot and with everyone in Atlanta talking about this game being the most important of the Mike Smith era, I think his team rises to the occasion.  The wear and tear of the Washington game last week is going to weigh in on the Seahawks as his game progresses and given a generously low number, I think we have to take the rested, superior favorite at what appears to be a bargain price. 

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Posted by on Jan 4, 2013 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Picks — First Round Playoffs

Betting on Football

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

89 WINS – 84 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 19.25 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $11,925.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  12-5-0

 

Comments:  Nice to end the regular season on a positive note, going 6-1.  Let’s hope this continues on into the playoffs.

THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:

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Posted by on Dec 29, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Plays: Week 17

YA Tittle Photo

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

83 WINS – 83 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (- 12.05 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $8,795.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  11-5-0

Comments:  Let’s just say that I know exactly how football legend Y.A. Title feels (see photo above).  My handicapping record has been reduced to the results one would expect from flipping a coin.  Indeed, this has been one of the strangest seasons I’ve ever experienced as a sports bettor.  The good — I’ve been in the black since Week 2, at least until last Sunday.  The season’s high point was after Week 11, when I was ahead +78 units.  The bad — I’m on brutal cold streak.  Now, after a terrible two-month run and losing an average of 20 units a week, I need to close with a few winners to lock up a season in the black.  Here it goes….

THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:

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