Pages Menu
TwitterFacebooklogin
Categories Menu

Posted by on Nov 24, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Plays — Week 12

Bad Weather Football

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

69 WINS – 54 LOSSES – 2 PUSHES —– (+ 75.85 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $17,585.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  9-3-0

 

On Thursday, I posted two wins and one loss, for a net gain of +7.7 units.  Once again, it’s a positive sign we’re winning the large-unit games.  

Last week’s record was 5 wins and 4 losses.  Most important, the net gain was +9.3 units.  

If there’s one thing I’ve improved this season over the last many years I’ve been posting plays at various public forums (which started in 1997), it’s been with weighing picks and better money management.  

It took me many many years to realize that flat betting gives way too much away when there are stronger than average plays on the board.  Moreover, a pick may be worth playing, but for a smaller amount based on the line or total.  Hence, I strongly recommend varying your bet sizes.  I have more work to do and much more to learn in this area.  But I do want to say that if you only get half your picks right, but weigh the games accurately, you might still be able to produce a nice profit.

Here are Sunday’s plays (11 wagers).

Read More

Posted by on Nov 21, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 1 comment

NFL Plays — Week 12 (Thanksgiving Day Only)

 

Billy Kilmer 1960's

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

67 WINS – 53 LOSSES – 2 PUSHES —– (+ 68.55 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $16,855.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  9-3-0

 

 

Last week’s record was 5 wins and 4 losses.  Most important, the net gain was +9.3 units.  

If there’s one thing I’ve improved this season over the last many years I’ve been posting plays at various public forums (which started in 1997), it’s been with weighing picks and better money management.  

It took me many many years to realize that flat betting gives way too much away when there are stronger than average plays on the board.  Moreover, a pick may be worth playing, but for a smaller amount based on the line or total.  Hence, I strongly recommend varying your bet sizes.  I have more work to do and much more to learn in this area.  But I do want to say that if you only get half your picks right, but weigh the games accurately, you might still be able to produce a nice profit.

I’m making three wagers on Thanksgiving Day games.  Sunday’s plays will be released at the customary time.

Read More

Posted by on Nov 17, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 2 comments

NFL Plays — Week 11

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

62 WINS – 49 LOSSES – 2 PUSHES —– (+ 59.25 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $15,925.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  8-3-0

It’s hard to top last week’s results, posting a public record of 11 wins and 3 losses–  for a monster net win of +52.3 units.  However, this is no time to celebrate or relax.  Trying to stay in the zone with what will hopefully be another profitable week.

Many plays this week are not so much BET ON games as BET AGAINST games.  Some teams are starting to implode and those are teams we want to fade this time of year, especially if not laying too many points.  That’s the case on a few games this week noted below.

Making nine wagers this week.

Read More

Posted by on Nov 15, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Plays — Week 11 (Early Release)

Drew Brees in 2011

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

62 WINS – 49 LOSSES – 2 PUSHES —– (+ 59.25 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $15,925.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  8-3-0

This is a rare mid-week release due to Thursday night’s NFL game between Miami and Buffalo.

Note:  All wagers are for amusement-purposes only.  I bear no responsibility for those who may decide to follow my plays.

 

NFL WEEK 11 PLAYS (THURSDAY-RELATED ONLY — SUNDAY’S FULL SLATE OF PLAYS TO COME)

 

6-POINT TEASER:  MIAMI +8.5 / DENVER -1.5 (-110) — for 5 units

Read More

Posted by on Nov 10, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Plays — Week 10

Bad Weather Football

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED SEASON RECORD

51 WINS – 46 LOSSES – 2 PUSHES —– (+ 6.95 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $10,695.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  6-3-0

Favorites destroyed the dogs last week, which is a contrarian’s nightmare.  Home dogs were slaughtered.  Given that, I was very fortunate to escape with an 8-8 win-loss mark. 

The losses were very demoralizing — as the live home dogs were pretty much out of the game early. 

Worse, I took at least three horrific beats on first quarter plays — the worst of which was in the DEN-CINCY game when an official blew a call when the runner intentionally ran ot of bounds with :22 left on the clock (the next play was a CINCY field goal).  Yet the official inexplicably let the clock run and I lost the wager.  The other horrible beat was getting points in the TAMPA-OAK first quarter.  Bucs were kicking a FG to go up with about 4 minutes left in the first, when OAK blocked the kick and runs it back 30 yards the other way.  OAK proceeds to milk the clock all the way down to :30 kicks a FG and I lose.  Then, there was HOU-BUFF where it’s scoreless until :36 seconds left and then HOU runs a trick play and throws a 40-yard touchdown pass.  Any play in bounds there would have run the clock down to a scoreless tie and a win.  DAL-ATL should have gone over as well, as the first four drives crossed midfield — including three drives within the opponents 25-yard line.  But all we could muster was 6 points. 

So, four brutal first quarter losses and three live dogs that failed to show resulted in a maddening day.  But, getting to the .500 mark was somewhat a relief considering the way the early games turned out. 

Coming off the frustration, going 8 wins and 8 losses for a net loss of -.6 units. 

My overall record remains in the black in all categories, but need to improve.  Lot’s of attractive wagers this week, including two “Best Bets.”

Making 14 wagers on Sunday.

Note:  All wagers are for amusement-purposes only.  I bear no responsibility for those who may decide to follow my plays.

 

NFL WEEK 10 PLAYS:

Read More
css.php