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Posted by on Dec 14, 2023 in Blog | 2 comments

Westgate SuperContest Update (Week 15)

 

 

NFL SUPER CONTEST UPDATE (WEEK 15)

One month to go (four weeks). 5 picks per week. 20 total picks still to make.

Main Event was 1,301 entries; contest pays the top-20 finishers; $200,000 for first. We currently have THREE entries ranked in the Top-50. All SEVEN of our tickets rank in the Top-200 (which means still within striking distance of cashing)….Our best ticket is tied for 7th place.

On the Second Half mini-contest, $75,000 for first, contest pays top-3 places, and we have FOUR tickets ranked in the top 80, with our best ticket tied for 9th place.

We won the Week 10-12 contest, good for $25,000.

Key reference points:

1. 60 points (one point for each win) won first place in the contest last season.

2. 55 points was enough to cash in the Top-20.

3. Similar pace this season, which means winning ~60 percent on the top THREE tickets gets us likely into the money, maybe multiple times.

4. A 15-5 or better record on either of the best two tickets, probably ties or wins the contest for us.

5. At a bare minimum, we need to go 11-9 on the best ticket, and 12-8 on the next, 13-7 on the next, etc. Even the low tickets if they somehow go 16-4, might sneak into the money.

The bottom THREE tickets will be used as a more high risk chance to hedge/minimize variance. So, we are using the LV RAIDERS -2.5 on three selections on tickets #5, #6, and #7 tonight. Note: Other selections will be kept in confidence until closing from this point forward because contest rivals may be monitoring the picks.

This is our time. This is our moment. This is our destiny.

[cue the classic NFL music]

2 Comments

  1. keep it up Nolan. I had no interest in a side on tonights game but now I have a sweat. Always look forward to your picks and analysis.

  2. Great job so far and thanks for sharing the journey.
    Good luck on the final turn….
    Daniel

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