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Posted by on Dec 29, 2013 in Blog, Sports Betting | 0 comments

NFL Wild Card Games (Early Picks)

 

nfl-on-grass

 

Sunday was a nice way to end the regular season, going 6 wins and 3 losses — for a profit of $2,010.  The three losses came by a combined 5 points, so it could have been a monster day.  I’ll still take it.

Futures bets also performed well, going 6 wins and 3 losses, for a nice win totaling $2,985 for the season.  Two of the losers lost by a half game.  Like I said, I’ll take it.

Best Bets went a combined 3-1 last week (for all wagers), which now puts that category into the black for the first time this season.

After a lackluster first half of the season, the profits are now rolling in.  Total results (all documented here) shows a 106 percent return on investment for the season — which is turning into a monster year.  Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.

Now, it’s on to the playoffs.  I’m posting early because I expect these lines will move (see plays below).

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2013 NFL SEASON RECORD

104 WINS — 78 LOSSES — 6 PUSHES

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS — 6 WINS  3 LOSSES  0 PUSHES (+$2,010) 

FUTURES BETS GRADED — 6 WINS  3 LOSSES   0 PUSHES (+2,985)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $20,602.

NET GAIN:  + $10,602.

BEST BETS:  21–18–2

 

THIS WEEK’S PLAYS:  Will Be Updated Later With More Possible Plays

San Francisco -2.5 (-115) at Green Bay — $805 to win $700

49ers are far superior in every phase, except at QB where they are at a huge disadvantage.  49ers game plan is to play solid defense, run the ball, and let the best crew of WRs in the NFL catch Kaepernick’s wobbly balls and make yardage.  The formula works.  Green Bay’s defense is awful.  I can’t see the Packers matching up well here and will gladly lay the points.

Kansas City +3 (-120) at Indianapolis — $880 to win $800

Colts record is deceptive, but they have managed to beat some good teams (SEA, DEN, SFO).  The difference is Chiefs running game.  I expect them to control the line of scrimmage and win outright.

Philadelphia -2.5 (-125) vs New Orleans — $750 to win $600

How can you not fade the Saints outdoors?  Hurts to bet against New Orleans, but that’s clearly the right side based on what we’ve seen.  Need to snap this up because I’m sure this moves to -3, if not higher by game time.

Cincinnati -7 vs. San Diego — $1,100 to win $1,000     <<<BEST BET>>>

Chargers should have lost the game last week to Kansas City practice squad.  Everyone was on bench for Chiefs, but they still somehow almost won outright as double digit dog on the road, and would have knocked San Diego out of playoffs were it not for a missed field goal.  Chargers are the NFL’s softest team, and should have a handful against a team that’s perfect at home and scoring a ton of points every week.  Huge game for Bengals who I expect will roll up the score and cover easily.

 

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS (INCLUDES NFL REGULAR SEASON-WINS FUTURES):  6 wins and 3 losses in Week 17 (+2,010), and 6 wins and 3 losses in Futures Bets (+2,985).

 

Atlanta +5.5 vs. Carolina — $550 to win $500     WON

TEASER:  Atlanta +11.5 with New Orleans -5.5 — $550 to win $500     WON

TEASER:  New Orleans -6 with Tennessee -1.5 — $880 to win $800   <<<BEST BET>>>       WON

TEASER:  New Orleans -6 with Pittsburgh -1 — $880 to win $800   <<<BEST BET>>>       WON

TEASER:  Pittsburgh -1 with San Diego -4 — $880 to win $800   <<<BEST BET>>>     LOST

Minnesota -3 vs. Detroit — $550 to win $500     LOST

Arizona +1 vs. San Francisco — $660 to win $600     LOST

TEAM TOTAL POINTS:  New Orleans Over 29.5 — $880 to win $800       WON

FIRST HALF:  Philadelphia -3 vs. Dallas — $660 to win $600       WON

 

DALLAS COWBOYS UNDER 8.5 WINS (-125) —– Wagering $750 to win $600     WINNER

NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 9 WINS (-105) —– Wagering $1,050 to win $1,000    LOSER

GREEN BAY PACKERS UNDER 10.5 WINS (-115) —– Wagering $575 to win $500    WINNER

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS UNDER 7.5 WINS (+105) *BEST BET* —– Wagering $1,500 to win $1,575    WINNER

NEW ORLEANS OVER 9 WINS (-165) —– Wagering $1,650 to win $1,000   WINNER

ST. LOUIS RAMS OVER 7.5 WINS (-110) —– Wagering $440 to win $400     LOSER

BALTIMORE RAVENS OVER 8.5 WINS (-110) —– Wagering $1,100 to win $1,000     LOSER

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS OVER 8.5 WINS (-110) —– Wagering $880 to win $800   WINNER

OAKLAND RAIDERS UNDER 5.5 (-180) — Wagering $1,800 to win $1,000    WINNER

 

……………..

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 FINAL NFL SEASON RECORD

98 WINS – 87 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 34.6 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

ENDING BANKROLL:  $13,460.

NET GAIN:  + $3,460

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  14-7-0

 

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