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Posted by on Sep 19, 2015 in Blog, Essays, Sports Betting | 2 comments

My First Video in 11 Months (NFL Week 2 Thoughts)

 

Nolan-Dalla

 

Last night in my home office, I shot a one-hour video with my thoughts on all the NFL games for Week 2.

For those new to this site, this is something I’ll be doing during the rest of the season, time permitting.

For me, creating a video is an exercise in pulling together lots of information I gather during week about upcoming games and the opportunity to spew off about whatever my gut reaction tells me about each game.

I’ve already made three wagers this week, and could release as many as ten plays (seven look good, plus a few quarter and first-half bets).  This video gives you some idea why I’ve picked certain teams and totals.

Side Note:  There’s some valid criticism that these videos are not of professional quality.  There are no notes, edits, or any production values whatsoever (I tried that last year — it was way too much work).  Sorry, but I simply do not have time to make a one-hour show every week on my own and spend my free hours scripting and editing.  Furthermore, forget about me giving out quick 30-second picks for sports gamblers who are lazy.  If you follow those kinds of plays, you might as well forget about trying to win money.  Handicapping a game takes time and requires going into detail.  If you want quick and easy , then watch the Sunday morning shows which are filled with worthless fluff and contain virtually no information related to pointspreads and totals.

As one expects with just about anything I do — there’s a bottle of wine, a few interruptions, a tangent or two, and profanity.  Hopefully, there will be some winners, too.

For those who don’t care for the picks but just want entertainment and short rant, you can probably watch the video from the 33-minute mark forward, which is where things spin slightly out of control.

Last comment:  I’ll be posting my final picks of the week either late tonight (Saturday) or early Sunday morning.

Enjoy!

 

 

Estimated Post Time (NFL plays with write ups):  Sunday — 8 am PST

 

2 Comments

  1. Because you asked, this is quick-and-dirty, I doubt my database is 100% error-free, and it depends on whose closing number you use, but, for the NFL since the 2000-2001 season:

    Total (or higher) over-under
    50

    • Your web site software is garbage. Hitting tab and/or multiple returns should not submit comments. Let’s try this again:

      Because you asked, this is quick-and-dirty, I doubt my database is 100% error-free, and it depends on whose closing number you use, but, for the NFL since the 2000-2001 season:

      Total (or higher) over-under
      50 118-146
      50.5 101-127
      51 83-109
      51.5 73-98
      52 68-89
      52.5 68-89
      53 53-73
      53.5 40-65
      54 29-52
      54.5 25-48
      55 20-44
      55.5 17-39
      56 11-32

      Because you like the insults and the controversy:

      Donald Trump will never call you a low energy commentator.
      Bernie Sanders called. He wants his hair style back.

      You’re waiting too long before you bet. I got the JAC +6.5 and PIT -5.5 earlier this week. Betting PIT in a teaser!? You could have had them on the ML for a lot less earlier in the week. These were easily available. What’s more important, making good bets or [insert your own adjective] videos?

      Yes, I’m still with you, no I’m not going to write your plays down, and the books won’t let me fade your teasers!

      This may scare you, but I agree with you more than I disagree, although you’re still making too many bets.

      Your “tape” ran out just as you were listing your plays, which means, between the two of us, only one of us actually watched your video. Well, listened to it, I’m watching the TiCats/Eskimos game with the sound off.

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