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Posted by on Nov 21, 2020 in Blog, Essays | 0 comments

2020 NFL Picks: Week #11

 

 

This has been a season like no other.

I’ve been posting my picks on public forums dating back to the days of Sports Fan Radio in 1995.  Each season is different in the sense that rarely do things go according to expectation.  Hence, I find myself constantly making adjustments.  I’m rarely doing the same things in November and December that I did in September and October.

2020 is no different.  In fact, it’s perhaps the most unusual season I’ve encountered.  The reasons for this are obvious.

What’s not so clear is knowing what exactly to apply when handicapping.  Are angles and trends really applicable in a season with no apparent home-field advantage?  Are unders really playable when the average NFL team typically passes 50 times a game?

The biggest adjustment I’ve made this year is abandoning side wagers for the most part in favor of quarters and halves betting, which are faring well.

That will continue this week, as I have a slightly better than break-even mark overall (8 picks over the .500 mark), but remain in the red due to vig and making lots of plays (down -$399 for the season).

 

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2020 NFL WAGERING RECORD

Wins — Losses — Pushes     63 — 55 — 2

Starting Bankroll:     $10,000.

Current Bankroll:     $9,601.

Best Bets:     4 — 5 — 0 (- $825.)

Last Week’s Results:     + $1,730.

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Three “best bets” this week, and 20 wagers, total.

 

THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:  (20 plays)

 

Cincinnati Bengals +½ (-110) – 1st H
$220.00 to win $200.00

BEST BET:  Philadelphia Eagles/Cleveland Browns o9½ (-115) – 1st Q
$230.00 to win $200.00

Philadelphia Eagles Team Total o½ (-180) – 1st Q
$360.00 to win $200.00

Atlanta Falcons Team Total o½ (-170) – 1st Q
$340.00 to win $200.00

Jacksonville Jaguars Team Total o½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00 to win $200.00

Pittsburgh Steelers/Jacksonville Jaguars o9½ (-115) – 1st Q
$230.00 to win $200.00

Tennessee Titans Team Total o½ (-140) – 1st Q
$280.00 to win $200.00

Cincinnati Bengals/Washington Redskins o9½ (-105) – 1st Q
$210.00 to win $200.00

Tennessee Titans/Baltimore Ravens o9½ (-130) – 1st Q
$260.00 to win $200.00

New England Patriots/Houston Texans o9½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00 to win $200.00

BEST BET:  Philadelphia Eagles Team Total o9½ (-160) – 1st H
$320.00 to win $200.00

Tennessee Titans Team Total o9½ (-150) – 1st H
$300.00 to win $200.00

BEST BET:  Dallas Cowboys +4 (-115) – 1st H
$230.00 to win $200.00

Dallas Cowboys Team Total o½ (-135) – 1st Q
$270.00 to win $200.00

Dallas Cowboys/Minnesota Vikings o9½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00 to win $200.00

Dallas Cowboys Team Total o7½ (-130) – 1st H
$260.00 to win $200.00

Los Angeles Rams +3 (-105) – 1st H
$210.00 to win $200.00

Los Angeles Rams Team Total o½ (-150) – 1st Q
$300.00 to win $200.00

Los Angeles Rams/Tampa Bay Buccaneers o9½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00 to win $200.00

Los Angeles Rams Team Total o9½ (-135) – 1st H
$270.00 to win $200.00

 

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