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Posted by on Nov 14, 2020 in Blog, Essays | 0 comments

2020 NFL Picks: Week #10

 

 

I took last week off, which was a rare thing for me.  The 2020 presidential election and aftermath was just too much of an overload to process, and adding NFL handicapping, I didn’t feel confident enough to post any picks.

However, that didn’t stop me from making 36 wagers over the course of Sunday and Monday.  These were all last-minute wagers and half-time wagers, with no work involved, other than line shopping and betting based on gut instinct.

Well, wouldn’t you know it.  I enjoyed my best (non-recorded) results in five years, going 27-9 against the spread.  What’s astonishing is these were all $100 “shits and giggles” wagers.  It ended up being about a $1,500 weekend.

For the purposes of recording, I posted only six of these — the Sunday night game and the Monday night game.  I will only record what’s posted in advance, so that means I added MNF’s 3-0 result to the season tally.  The big weekend was great financially but won’t win over any followers.

This week, I’m doing the EXACT SAME THING.  Hey, why mess with success?  I’ll make as many wagers as I can, all in the amount of $100 and will fire indiscriminately where I see line value or arbitrage (some cross bets with different lines and sites).  The plays will be posted at Facebook.  The reason I can’t post them in advance is — many of these plays are first-quarter bets, and the numbers on those don’t come out until a few hours before kickoff (NOTE:  UPDATED — WAGERS ARE NOW POSTED BELOW).

However, I did make one advance play, based on weather reports.  See below.

NOTE PLAYS ADDED BELOW………

 

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2020 NFL WAGERING RECORD

Wins — Losses — Pushes     50 — 49 — 2

Starting Bankroll:     $10,000.

Current Bankroll:     $7,871.

Best Bets:     3 — 5 — 0 (- $1,325.)

Last Week’s Results:     + $300.

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THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:  (16 +3 plays = 19 total)

Houston at Cleveland UNDER 45.5 — Risking $550 to win $500 (BEST BET)

Mild weather for Cleveland tomorrow, with temperatures close to 60 degrees at game time.  But wind should be a huge factor and mixed with rain are expected to make things difficult for passing games (and kickers).  Forecast calls for strong wind gusts.  Total on this game plunged 5 points, but I don’t think that’s enough of an adjustment.  So, I’m making this the Best Bet of the week.

 

Houston Texans/Cleveland Browns u45½ (-110)
$330.00
$300.00
Houston Texans/Cleveland Browns u45½ (-110)
$220.00
$200.00
Washington Redskins Team Total o½ (-140) – 1st Q
$280.00
$200.00
Jacksonville Jaguars Team Total o½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00
$200.00
Philadelphia Eagles/New York Giants o7½ (-105) – 1st Q
$210.00
$200.00
New York Giants Team Total o½ (-140) – 1st Q
$280.00
$200.00
Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Carolina Panthers o9½ (-130) – 1st Q
$260.00
$200.00
Carolina Panthers Team Total o½ (-160) – 1st Q
$320.00
$200.00
Washington Redskins/Detroit Lions o9½ (-105) – 1st Q
$210.00
$200.00
Los Angeles Chargers/Miami Dolphins o9½ (-130) – 1st Q
$260.00
$200.00
Buffalo Bills Team Total o3½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00
$200.00
Arizona Cardinals Team Total o6½ (-130) – 1st Q
$260.00
$200.00
Cincinnati Bengals Team Total o½ (-125) – 1st Q
$250.00
$200.00
San Francisco 49ers Team Total o½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00
$200.00
New Orleans Saints Team Total o6½ (-155) – 1st Q
$310.00
$200.00
Seattle Seahawks Team Total o3½ (-120) – 1st Q
$240.00
$200.00
Los Angeles Rams Team Total o6½ (-130) – 1st Q
$260.00
$200.00
SUNDAY NIGHT SHITS AND GIGGLES SPECIALS
 
Adding these three little honeys to cap off a fabulous NFL betting day, going 13-3. Each play is a $100 fun bet, and will be included in the NFL betting results, which I do each week at my site. This is my best two-week run in ten years the last two weeks, going 39-12.
 
Shit and giggles sandwiches, anyone? Enjoy the festa!
 
(I don’t count the 2H bets, so ignore those).

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