Round Robin Teasers — Results
Anyone who scoffs at betting on NFL preseason games has no clue what they are doing when it comes to sports wagering.
The first full week of NFL preseason games resulted in a smashing success.
My “Round Robin NFL Teasers” (READ THE FULL ARTICLE HERE) produced a whopping +55.6 units of profit, which comes out to one more of my best sports wagering weekends in a long time, winning percentage-wise.
The teasers which were played on most games Thursday through Sunday finished with 13 of my 15 teams cashing, Two teams didn’t cash (which means they failed to cover the +6 points added to each teaser). Even with those 27 losing teasers (plus -120 in vig), my 78 winning teaser bets more than covered the losses…and then some
Note: True story — I could only get down on 93 wagers in Week 1 because I have several accounts with different amounts and not all the betting lines were consistent with the prevailing spreads that were posted in the article. So, my profit was a bit less than $5,560 (about $4,500 actually). Still, it was a tremendous way to begin the 2022 NFL pre-and regular season.
Let me make a few more observations:
— I keep on saying this because I’m right. Anyone who scoffs at betting on NFL preseason games has no clue what they are doing when it comes to sports wagering. While some bettors may want to wait until the regular season begins, those who repeatedly claim these games can’t be handicapped are talking out of their asses. I’ve been betting NFL preseason for 30 years and my record is better in the exhibition games than the real games, and that includes thousands of bets.
— In typical gambler mode, even though I finished 78-27 (-32.40 with vig), I’m more upset about the 2 losses, which were both winnable bets. Tennessee’s horrific third-string QB tossed three second-half interceptions. Nonetheless, the Titans were a touchdown away from covering and had the ball on the Ravens’ 8-yard-line with first and goal with a minute left in the game. They couldn’t score and I lost 14 tickets with that blunder. In the Dallas-Denver game, I held my nose and took the Cowboys plus the points. Dallas was driving with 2 minutes left in the game and trailing by 10 points just needed a FG to cover the spread. They had the ball in Denver territory, but the drive stalled at the Broncos’ 40. If Dallas gets that FG (which they would have kicked at 10 yards closer), that’ was another 13 losing tickets that could have been winners.
— One surprise to me was seeing how high-scoring the first full week of preseason went. Normally, these games land in the low 30s, on average. But they played much more like a regular season weekend in terms of points scored. Teams averaged about 43 points per game with lots of backups and very few starters. In fact, OVERs went 15-2! This tells me the remaining 2 games for each team might also be higher scoring (overall) than expected. Let’s see how much linesmakers adjust these totals in preseason Week 2. Early thought — I can’t imagine offenses downscaling their play-calling after what we saw in the first game(s), so I’m tempted to bet any game in Week 2 which is lined in the 30s OVER the total. But again, that’s an early reaction to Week 1.
— I’ll be back each week with thoughts, predictions, and picks. So, look for the reports here. I also expect to post a few videos. We’ll see how that goes.
’til next week….