NFL Week 1 — Plays
NOLAN DALLA: 2012 POSTED SEASON RECORD 0-0-0 —– (+/- 00.0 units)
FIRST QUARTER: NY JETS / BUFFALO OVER 7 —– (1 unit)
Going contrarian on NYJ scoring problems…..linesmaker overreaction here…..BUF capable of scoring…..just need one TD+
FIRST QUARTER: CLEVELAND +3 (-125) —– (1 unit)
Give me just about any home team in its opener getting a FG in the first 15 min……PHI hasn’t proven anything yet to be laying this kind of chalk
FIRST QUARTER: JACKSONVILLE / MINNESOTA OVER 7 (-120) —– (1 unit)
I’ll take just about any two teams on the carpet in a dome to go OVER when the quarter line is a TD or less.
FIRST HALF: NY JETS / BUFFALO OVER 19.5 —– (1 unit)
FIRST HALF: SEATTLE / ARIZONA OVER 20.5 —– (1 unit)
Another fast track in Phoenix…..games here often have wacky plays and lots of turnovers…..key number here is 21 and as long as we get the inside of that figure, I’ll go OVER
FIRST HALF: NEW ORLEANS -4.5 —– (1 unit)
Looking for big emotional opener for Saints, who have been forced to listen to negativity for six months. Offense probably can’t be stopped and I can’t see a rookie QB in his first road start keeping up the pace with one of the NFL’s best offenses.
6-POINT TEASER: CHICAGO -3.5 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units)
We get the Wong teaser factor (a betting term I coined by the way) on a good home team coming off a season full of injuries. Very bad spot for a Colts rookie (Luck) in a road opener with a bad team.
6-POINT TEASER: KANSAS CITY +8.5 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units)
Love the Chiefs at home against ATL which seems destined to win 10 games, but rarely blows anyone out. Bad spot in heat and outdoors on grass for the dome team. Can’t remember the last time Falcons won a road game by double-digits.
6-POINT TEASER: PITTSBURGH +8 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units)
Revenge spot for Steelers which suffered a shocking road playoff upset last season. This game is probably a toss up and should be close, so I will for the Wong teaser across the key numbers and take the road team (and probably the better overall team, with Mannings’ grade still to come).
GAME: GREEN BAY -5 —– (1 unit)
Green Bay is quite simply the better team, especially at home. I think this line should be -7.
GAME: CAROLINA / TAMPA UNDER 46 —– (1 unit)
Way to many points, especially for a muggy game in Tampa, with two young offenses. I don’t see a lot ot risk-taking here by either team….neither coach wants to throw the ball 50+ times, which I think plays into a 20-17 kind of game.
GAME: SEATTTLE / ARIZONA OVER 41 —– (1 unit)
I just about always bet OVER on games in Phoenix, so long as the total is not mid-40s or higher. Not a lot of logic in this, but the method has produced for me.
Note: Second-Half Wagers may be posted later