I just don’t get it.
It seems that most football bettors would rather get analysis and picks from quickie YouTube videos with yapping eye candy, or follow the spikey-haired slim-suits on ESPN who never post their handicapping records and whom nobody has ever heard of. That’s what gets attention nowadays.
Perhaps good old-fashioned handicapping and hard work isn’t in style anymore.
Please message me when the eye candy and slim suits post 64 percent winners on 90+ NFL picks and 26 games over .500 flat betting after 7 weeks — all for free.
I don’t know how much longer I’ll put in the time, honestly. I don’t know. We’ll see what happens.
LAST WEEK’S RESULTS:
[TNF] Arizona -2.5 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
NY Giants/ Jacksonville UNDER 43 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
Tennessee -2 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
Atlanta +6.5 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. LOST
Atlanta Team Total OVER 20.5 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. LOST
TEASER: Baltimore -.5 (half point) / [MNF] New England -2 — Risking $240 to win $200 ….. LOST
Washington +4.5 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
Carolina +7 (first half) — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
NY Jets -1.5 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
Houston/Las Vegas UNDER 46 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. LOST
Kansas City -1 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
Seattle/LA Chargers OVER 50 — Risking $220 to win $200 ….. WON
[MNF] PROP: New England to win both halves (+135) — Risking $200 to win $270 ….. LOST
Now, it’s on to NFL Week 8, or maybe not.
************************************************
2022 NFL WAGERING RECORD
58 Wins
32 Losses
0 Pushes
Starting Bankroll: $10,000.
Current Bankroll: $14,740.
Net Gain/Loss: + $4,740.
Last Week’s Results: 8 wins – 5 losses (+500.)
*************************************************
[TNF] Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Bucs -1
O/U: 45.5
Moneylines: Ravens -102 / Bucs -118
Analysis: Typically, I don’t focus on superstars and chomp at sports gossip, which often muddies the handicappers’ perspective. But this game is an exception. Can Tom Brady turn things around for the flatlined Bucs? When Tom Brady and Tampa Bay hosts Baltimore on Thursday night, the G.O.A.T. will be looking to avoid his longest losing streak in two decades. That’s a long time. Brady holds nearly every meaningful NFL quarterbacking record. But the task he faces on in this spot ranks up there as one of his toughest career challenges, and potentially greatest accomplishments. The Bucs’ future Hall of Famer leads a struggling 3-4 team on a rare two-game losing streak against the 4-3 Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football. In the past few weeks, Tampa Bay lost two humiliating games — to Pittsburgh and Carolina — not exactly tough opposition. They offense looked horrific versus perhaps the worst team in the NFL. Things will be far more difficult this week versus a much better team, especially on a short week since both teams played just four days earlier. So, what makes this game (and the next few contests) such a big deal? Well, this could finally be the end of the Brady era, and things could get ugly fast. However, it could also be the moment of relaunch and the apex of one more memorable season where Brady leads a team to near a championship. The Baltimore game may tell us how Brady’s final career chapter will end. Key Stat: Brady experienced 13 regular-season losing streaks of two games or more in his NFL career, including once this season. His record in the games immediately after losing two in a row is 13-1. For me, betting the side all comes down to how much faith we have in Brady’s ability to get better pass protection and motivate his receiver corps to step up their game. The Bucs’ stout defense has been just fine ranking #6th overall and #3rd in sacks. It’s the weak and inconsistent offense that’s still a question mark. Let’s also note that Baltimore hasn’t dominated anyone in more than a month, losers of 3 of their last 4 games. Baltimore has been shaky stopping the run and has committed multiple ill-timed turnovers. They blew the NYG game two weeks ago and nearly lost the CLE game last week with another late fumble. While Baltimore enjoys the superior W-L record, this team also has many holes to fill. That combined with a few other factors leads to me to bet on Tampa Bay. It’s rare to see any Tom Brady team playing at home laying this low a number. The short week should also help the home team. Finally, there’s more desperation for the Bucs to win this week, and I think – they will.
ADDING ONE PROP BET (12:15 PST): Here’s a prop bet for tonight: Justin Tucker OVER 1.5 field goals (-134): If there is one “OVER” I almost always love, it’s G.O.A.T. kicker Tucker nailing field goals in a big game. Tucker has hit 2+ FGs in four-straight games. With Tampa’s above-average defense and good red zone numbers, the FG prop is even stronger here.
The Picks:
Tampa Bay -1 — Risking $220 to win $200
PROP: Baltimore OVER 1.5 made field goals (-134) — Risking $268 to win $200