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Posted by on Nov 29, 2015 in Blog | 0 comments

Desperation Time (Minnesota Vikings +3)

 

Minnesota_Vikings_2013_04

 

 

Continuing with the (modified) Martingale System, this week is the second leg of the betting progression.

We lost $2,400 last week (1 loss and 1 push), which requires increasing the wager to cover the losses, plus lock up a profit.

I really love my game today, so I’m going to hammer it like a nail.  Wham!  I feel so good about this play that I’m pretending it’s already won.  The money’s already been spent, in fact.  So, it damn well better win.  After such a bad run of luck, the football gods owe me an apology win, and this game appears to be it.

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Posted by on Nov 2, 2015 in Blog, Essays | 3 comments

Tonight’s Pigeon Shit Football Pick (Guaranteed Winner)

 

pigeon-01

 

Note:  5 Minute Video Rant Below

 

After the Atlanta Falcons shit all over my teaser wheel yesterday, costing me a swing of about $6,400, the time has come to adopt a totally new football betting methodology.

That’s right.  I’m past the point of being on tilt.  What comes after tilt and bridge jumping?  You’re about to find out.

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Posted by on Oct 31, 2015 in Blog, Essays | 2 comments

NFL Week 8: Picks and Predictions

 

Green Bay Packers coach Vince Lombardi is carried off Lambeau Field on the shoulders of fullback Jimmy Taylor, left, and Paul Hornung after winning the NFL championship from the Cleveland Browns 23-12 in Green Bay, Wis., on Jan. 2, 1966. (AP Photo)

 

NOLAN DALLA — 2015 NFL SEASON RECORD

39 WINS – 34 LOSSES — 2 PUSHES

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $10,667.

NET GAIN/LOSS:  + $667.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  5 – 4 – 1

LAST WEEK:  16 — 8 — 0 (+$1,440)

 

This week, I’m posting a “modified” teaser wheel.  What this means is, one anchor team gets chosen and then is wheeled with many other teams.  However, I’m tossing out the bad number situations, and ill-advised teasers across the zero (pick).  So, I’m not teasing the entire board, just the situations that I think are favorable.

Regarding criticism of this strategy, I’m the first to acknowledge that teasers aren’t as appealing as several years ago when the games were lower scoring and more balanced.  The league instituted rule changes which now hinder defenses (especially pass defense) and allow offenses to pretty much get away with anything.  This has created higher-scoring games and more variance, which in turn has reduced the advantages that teasers once provided.  Some even insist that teasers shouldn’t be played at all, given that 6 points (the typical teaser margin) is no longer enough points to make them viable.

Nonetheless, I’m still convinced that teasing superior teams down to the prospect of “just win the game” remains worthy of consideration in some spots.  This week’s Tampa Bay-Atlanta matchup appears to be just such a situation, with one team coming off a demoralizing road loss and traveling again, versus a 6-1 team at home that hasn’t played well the last two weeks, but should be motivated here.

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