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Posted by on Sep 14, 2014 in Blog | 2 comments

Ballbusting Ballactica — My NFL Wagers (Week 2)

 

nfl-wagers

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2014 NFL SEASON RECORD

8 WINS – 5 LOSSES — 1 PUSHES

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $10,705.

NET GAIN/LOSS:  + $705.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  1 – 1 – 0

I’m in Montana this weekend.  Limited time for write ups.  See the plays below.  Note that one teaser has already lost this week (Thursday Night Game).

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS:  8-5-1 (+$705)

MIAMI +4 vs. NEW ENGLAND — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON

FIRST HALF:  MIAMI +3 (-125) — Laying $375 to win $300 — LOST

TAMPA -2.5 vs. CAROLINA — Laying $330 to win $300 — LOST

PITTSBURGH -7 (-105) vs. CLEVELAND — Laying $210 to win $200 — LOST

DENVER -7 vs. INDIANAPOLIS — Laying $330 to win $300 — PUSH

SAN FRANCISCO/DALLAS UNDER 51 — Laying $440 to win $400 — WON

WASHINGTON/HOUSTON UNDER 45 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON

NEW ORLEANS/ATLANTA OVER 51.5 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON

NY GIANTS +6.5 vs. DETROIT — Laying $550 to win $500   <<<BEST BET>>> — LOST

NY GIANTS/DETROIT OVER 47 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON

SAN DIEGO/ARIZONA OVER 46.5 — Laying $330 to win $300 — LOST

TEASER:  TENNESSEE +9 / DENVER -1 — Laying $550 to win $500   <<<BEST BET>>> — WON

FIRST QUARTER:  WASHINGTON +.5 (-125) — Laying $250 to win $200 — WON

FIRST QUARTER:  TENNESSEE +.5 (-125) — Laying $250 to win $200 — WON

 

THIS WEEK’S PICKS (all plays are -110 unless noted otherwise):

TEASER — Pittsburgh +8.5 / Green Bay — Risking $1,100 to win $1,000   <<<BEST BET>>>   ……….LOST

TEASER — Detroit + 7.5 / Green Bay -1 — Risking $1,100 to win $1,000   <<<BEST BET>>>

Carolina should struggle offensively with change at QB, and I see Detroit offense giving Panther’s defense trouble…..playing the Wong Teaser

TEASER — Jacksonville +11 / Green Bay -1 — Risking $880 to win $800

Jags on road again, but face easier opponent this time….Washington seems a mess right now, so give me double digits.

Buffalo -1.5 vs, Miami — Risking $440 to win $400

I’ll take the hot division rival in it’s home opener laying less than a FG…..line should be -3

Jacksonville + 4.5 vs. Washington — Risking $330 to win $300

More of an against-Washington pick

Dallas / Tennessee OVER 49 — Risking $550 to win $500

Leaning to just bet Dallas blindly OVER each week, given the horrid defense

Buffalo / Miami UNDER 43 — Risking $550 to win $500

Division rivals and both impressive defense last week makes me lean UNDER here…..thinking Miami struggles on offense this week

New England / Minnesota OVER 49 — Risking $550 to win $500

Both teams should throw the ball 50+ times

Green Bay / NY Jets UNDER 46.5 — Risking $550 to win $500

Either the Jets defense will slow down Green Bay, and/or the Jets offense will struggle — if so, this game goes UNDER

FIRST HALF — Jacksonville +3 — Risking $220 to win $300

Fade Washington until we see some evidence they’re capable to scoring points

FIRST HALF TEAM TOTAL — Jacksonville OVER 7.5 — Risking $220 to win $300

Often like to fade general perception about bad offenses, and JAX headed in right direction.

FIRST QUARTER — Jacksonville +.5 (-120) — Risking $240 to win $200

Ibid.

FIRST QUARTER — Chicago +.5 — Risking $220 to win $200

I’ve been on the fade 49ers in 1Q wagon off and on for two years.  Makes more money than it loses

TEAM TOTAL (GAME) — Oakland UNDER 19 — Risking $330 to win $300

Wasn’t impressed with rookie Carr at QB for Raiders last week and again he faces of the NFL’s best defenses

 

……………

 

PENDING FUTURES WAGERS:

NY GIANTS OVER 7.5 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000

DETROIT LIONS UNDER 8.5 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000

MINNESOTA VIKINGS OVER 6 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS UNDER 8 WINS (-135) — Wagering $1,350 to win $1,000

CLEVELAND BROWNS UNDER 7 WINS (-150) — Wagering $1,500 to win $1,000  <<<BEST BET>>> 

DALLAS COWBOYS TO MISS THE PLAYOFFS (-250) — Wagering $1,250 to win $500

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS (-220) — Wagering $2,200 to win $1,000   <<<BEST BET>>>

……………

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2013 NFL SEASON RECORD (FINAL RESULTS)

108 WINS – 84 LOSSES — 6 PUSHES

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

ENDING BANKROLL:  $14,702.

NET GAIN:  + $4,702.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  21–20–2

……………

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 NFL SEASON RECORD (FINAL RESULTS)

98 WINS – 87 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 34.6 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

ENDING BANKROLL:  $13,460.

NET GAIN:  + $3,460

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  14-7-0

 

 

2 Comments

  1. Nolan, I really enjoy your posts.

    By the way, you have to lay -140 on a 7 point teaser not -110. You lose the parlay odds and buy the points down (or up). If you push one side and win the other, you get your original bet back.

    I’ve been making these football bets for years.

    DON’T throw pushes in the trash!!! (I’ve seen it done.)

    • Nolan Replies: Unless I made some kind of math error, I have all of my teasers at SIX POINTS (never 6.5 or 7), which is a standard -110 at sites where I do business. Agree with you on pushes that it’s hugely important to capture the refund.

      — Nolan

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