Ballbusting Ballactica — My NFL Wagers (Week 2)
NOLAN DALLA: 2014 NFL SEASON RECORD
8 WINS – 5 LOSSES — 1 PUSHES
STARTING BANKROLL: $10,000.
CURRENT BANKROLL: $10,705.
NET GAIN/LOSS: + $705.
BEST BETS OF THE WEEK: 1 – 1 – 0
I’m in Montana this weekend. Limited time for write ups. See the plays below. Note that one teaser has already lost this week (Thursday Night Game).
LAST WEEK’S RESULTS: 8-5-1 (+$705)
MIAMI +4 vs. NEW ENGLAND — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON
FIRST HALF: MIAMI +3 (-125) — Laying $375 to win $300 — LOST
TAMPA -2.5 vs. CAROLINA — Laying $330 to win $300 — LOST
PITTSBURGH -7 (-105) vs. CLEVELAND — Laying $210 to win $200 — LOST
DENVER -7 vs. INDIANAPOLIS — Laying $330 to win $300 — PUSH
SAN FRANCISCO/DALLAS UNDER 51 — Laying $440 to win $400 — WON
WASHINGTON/HOUSTON UNDER 45 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON
NEW ORLEANS/ATLANTA OVER 51.5 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON
NY GIANTS +6.5 vs. DETROIT — Laying $550 to win $500 <<<BEST BET>>> — LOST
NY GIANTS/DETROIT OVER 47 — Laying $330 to win $300 — WON
SAN DIEGO/ARIZONA OVER 46.5 — Laying $330 to win $300 — LOST
TEASER: TENNESSEE +9 / DENVER -1 — Laying $550 to win $500 <<<BEST BET>>> — WON
FIRST QUARTER: WASHINGTON +.5 (-125) — Laying $250 to win $200 — WON
FIRST QUARTER: TENNESSEE +.5 (-125) — Laying $250 to win $200 — WON
THIS WEEK’S PICKS (all plays are -110 unless noted otherwise):
TEASER — Pittsburgh +8.5 / Green Bay — Risking $1,100 to win $1,000 <<<BEST BET>>> ……….LOST
TEASER — Detroit + 7.5 / Green Bay -1 — Risking $1,100 to win $1,000 <<<BEST BET>>>
Carolina should struggle offensively with change at QB, and I see Detroit offense giving Panther’s defense trouble…..playing the Wong Teaser
TEASER — Jacksonville +11 / Green Bay -1 — Risking $880 to win $800
Jags on road again, but face easier opponent this time….Washington seems a mess right now, so give me double digits.
Buffalo -1.5 vs, Miami — Risking $440 to win $400
I’ll take the hot division rival in it’s home opener laying less than a FG…..line should be -3
Jacksonville + 4.5 vs. Washington — Risking $330 to win $300
More of an against-Washington pick
Dallas / Tennessee OVER 49 — Risking $550 to win $500
Leaning to just bet Dallas blindly OVER each week, given the horrid defense
Buffalo / Miami UNDER 43 — Risking $550 to win $500
Division rivals and both impressive defense last week makes me lean UNDER here…..thinking Miami struggles on offense this week
New England / Minnesota OVER 49 — Risking $550 to win $500
Both teams should throw the ball 50+ times
Green Bay / NY Jets UNDER 46.5 — Risking $550 to win $500
Either the Jets defense will slow down Green Bay, and/or the Jets offense will struggle — if so, this game goes UNDER
FIRST HALF — Jacksonville +3 — Risking $220 to win $300
Fade Washington until we see some evidence they’re capable to scoring points
FIRST HALF TEAM TOTAL — Jacksonville OVER 7.5 — Risking $220 to win $300
Often like to fade general perception about bad offenses, and JAX headed in right direction.
FIRST QUARTER — Jacksonville +.5 (-120) — Risking $240 to win $200
Ibid.
FIRST QUARTER — Chicago +.5 — Risking $220 to win $200
I’ve been on the fade 49ers in 1Q wagon off and on for two years. Makes more money than it loses
TEAM TOTAL (GAME) — Oakland UNDER 19 — Risking $330 to win $300
Wasn’t impressed with rookie Carr at QB for Raiders last week and again he faces of the NFL’s best defenses
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PENDING FUTURES WAGERS:
NY GIANTS OVER 7.5 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000
DETROIT LIONS UNDER 8.5 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000
MINNESOTA VIKINGS OVER 6 WINS (-130) — Wagering $1,300 to win $1,000
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS UNDER 8 WINS (-135) — Wagering $1,350 to win $1,000
CLEVELAND BROWNS UNDER 7 WINS (-150) — Wagering $1,500 to win $1,000 <<<BEST BET>>>
DALLAS COWBOYS TO MISS THE PLAYOFFS (-250) — Wagering $1,250 to win $500
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS (-220) — Wagering $2,200 to win $1,000 <<<BEST BET>>>
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NOLAN DALLA: 2013 NFL SEASON RECORD (FINAL RESULTS)
108 WINS – 84 LOSSES — 6 PUSHES
STARTING BANKROLL: $10,000.
ENDING BANKROLL: $14,702.
NET GAIN: + $4,702.
BEST BETS OF THE WEEK: 21–20–2
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NOLAN DALLA: 2012 NFL SEASON RECORD (FINAL RESULTS)
98 WINS – 87 LOSSES – 6 PUSHES —– (+ 34.6 units / 1 unit = $100)
STARTING BANKROLL: $10,000.
ENDING BANKROLL: $13,460.
NET GAIN: + $3,460
BEST BETS OF THE WEEK: 14-7-0
Nolan, I really enjoy your posts.
By the way, you have to lay -140 on a 7 point teaser not -110. You lose the parlay odds and buy the points down (or up). If you push one side and win the other, you get your original bet back.
I’ve been making these football bets for years.
DON’T throw pushes in the trash!!! (I’ve seen it done.)
Nolan Replies: Unless I made some kind of math error, I have all of my teasers at SIX POINTS (never 6.5 or 7), which is a standard -110 at sites where I do business. Agree with you on pushes that it’s hugely important to capture the refund.
— Nolan