Making History: Last week….my recommended round-robin teasers posted here at my website and on POINTSPREDS.CA went an astounding 78 wins and 27 losses, for a net win of +55.6 units — I doubt that any football bettor — anywhere, anytime — has ever produced a +55.6 unit gain in the first full week of preseason games.
In the beastly jungle of sports gambling, NFL preseason betting is a completely different animal from the NFL regular season. This means taking a completely different approach to handicapping preseason games is necessary.
Last week, I enjoyed one of my best betting runs in quite a long time. My recommended round-robin teasers went an astounding 78 wins and 27 losses. That produced a net win of +55.6 units (1 unit per play). I doubt that any football bettor has ever produced a +55.6 unit gain in the first full week of preseason games. Check that. Please get back to me if anyone has ever posted a 78-27 record in a single week of preseason football. I’ll wait.
READ: NFL ROUND ROBIN TEASERS (PICKS)
READ: NFL ROUND ROBIN TEASERS (RESULTS)
Of course, past results (and admittedly, a bit of good fortune) don’t guarantee future results.
This week, I’m targeting 6-point teaser middles. That means, in most of the games played Thursday-Monday I’ll be wagering on both sides — teased with 6 points. What I need to happen is — games must to land within the 12-point margin, or what’s otherwise known as a “middle.” With -120 vig on all wagers, so long as at least 9 of 16 games land in the middle, I will not lose money.
My reasoning here is that games are so unpredictable they are bound to be close to the pointspread, more often than not. Last week’s plays were also predicated on low-scoring games which didn’t happen. Nonetheless, 13 of the 15 teams I teased still covered the number.
Note that I’m violating some of the tenants of teaser betting, including not crossing the zero. I admit this isn’t math-wise. Nonetheless, as I said to open this article — preseason betting is a completely different animal.
Now, let’s roar!
So, this week I’ve made 16 wagers — all of $100 each:
SEATTLE vs. CHICAGO — SEA +9.5 / CHI +2.5 — Risking $120 to win $100
NEW ENGLAND vs. CAROLINA — NWE +3 / CAR +9 — Risking $120 to win $100
GREEN BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS — GB +3 / NOR +9 — Risking $120 to win $100
LA RAMS vs. HOUSTON — LAR +8 / HOU +4 — Risking $120 to win $100
BUFFALO vs. DENVER — BUF pick / DEN +12 — Risking $120 to win $100
INDIANAPOLIS vs. DETROIT– IND +9 / DET +3 — Risking $120 to win $100
KANSAS CITY vs. WASHINGTON — KC +1 / WAS +11 — Risking $120 to win $100
JACKSONVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH — JAX +3 / PIT +9 — Risking $120 to win $100
MIAMI vs. LAS VEGAS — MIA +7 / LVR +5 — Risking $120 to win $100
MINNESOTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO — MIN +1.5 / SFO +10.5 — Risking $120 to win $100
TENNESEE vs. TAMPA BAY — TEN +3.5 / TB +8.5 — Risking $120 to win $100
LA CHARGERS vs. DALLAS — LAC +3 / DAL +9 — Risking $120 to win $100
CLEVELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA — CLE +9. / PHI +3 — Risking $120 to win $100
NY GIANTS vs. CINCINNATI — NYG +.5 / CIN +11.5 — Risking $120 to win $100
ARIZONA vs. BALTIMORE — ARZ +11.5 / BAL +.5 — Risking $120 to win $100
NY JETS vs. ATLANTA — NYJ +8 / ATL +4 — Risking $120 to win $100
See you next week, and every week during the 2022 NFL season.