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Posted by on Dec 22, 2012 in Blog, Sports Betting | 1 comment

NFL Plays: Week 16

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED NFL SEASON RECORD

80 WINS – 78 LOSSES – 5 PUSHES —– (+ 3.55 units / 1 unit = $100)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000.

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $10,355.

BEST BETS OF THE WEEK:  10-5-0

 

There are no words.  If there’s one thing I’ve learned in my 30 years betting on football it’s that no one cares about excuses and worse — no one likes a crybaby.  Let’s move on with which I hope will be a strong close and ultimately a winning season.

THIS WEEK’S WAGERS:

 

OAKLAND / CAROLINA OVER 46.5 (-110) — for 5 units

We have one terrible defense, plus two QBs with decent production the last month.  I expect a lot of offensive players will want to pad stats in this meaningless game, and so I’ll go OVER this number.

 

SEATTLE -1 vs. SAN FRANCISCO -1 (-110) — for 8 units <BEST BET OF THE WEEK>

Seattle is seemingly invincible at home, a perfect 6-0 and getting better by the week.  Very tough spot for visiting 49ers who played two tough road games in a row, after last week’s upset at New England.  Seattle’s biggest home game in years and I expect they’ll meet he challenge.  Still not a fan of Kaepernick.

 

NY GIANTS / BALTIMORE OVER 47 (-115) — for 5 units

Ravens defense has collapsed and due to injuries is now one of the league’s worst units.  I expect both offenses to play a wide open game in what has become a critical game for both teams.

 

MINNESOTA +9 vs. HOUSTON (-110) — for 4 units

I’m not so sure there’s a 9 point difference between these two teams.  When will the Vikings get any respect?  Obviously, here they will.  I’ll take the generous points and RB Peterson running for the record.

 

CLEVELAND +12.5 vs. DENVER (-110) — for 5 units

Browns continue to be competitive, despite a less that impressive W-L record.  I see this as Denver’s letdown game.  In fact, I might even play Browns small on the moneyline.  I see a possible upset here.  Go ahead and laugh.

 

6-POINT TEASER:  BUFFALO +10.5 / SAN DIEGO + 8.5 — for 7 units

No way Miami should be laying double digits, even against one of the NFL’s worst-coached teams (why does anyone still think Chan Gailey can coach?)…..After about as embarrassing a performance as possible last week, I think Chargers revert back to the team that won in Pittsburgh under much the same circumstances a few weeks ago.  Glad to fade awful Jets starting unproven QB getting more than a TD.

 

FIRST HALF — NEW ORLEANS +.5 vs. DALLAS (-110) — for 5 units

Now that pressure if off in New Orleans, team will likely play better.  Witness last week’s easy win.  Meanwhile, Dallas seems to fall behind in every game — most wins have been second-half comebacks.  New Orleans is the better team and we are getting points.  Mandatory wager.

 

FIRST HALF — CLEVELAND +7.5 (-120) vs. DENVER — for 7 units

Have to take the hook on the 7, with the live dog.  This would be best bet material were it not for big play on Seattle.

 

FIRST HALF – SAN DIEGO +.5 (-110) vs. NY JETS — for 5 units

Will gladly fade any prospect that NY Jets must score points to cover.

 

 

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS:  Lost -25.3 uits

6-POINT TEASER:  JACKSONVILLE +15 with MINNESOTA +8.5 (-110) for 6 units

JACKSONVILLE +9 vs. MIAMI (-120) for 5 unit

NEW ENGLAND -4.5 vs. SAN FRANCISCO (-110) for 7 units <BEST BET OF THE WEEK>

FIRST QUARTER:  MIAMI/JACKSONVILLE OVER 7 (-125) for 4 units

FIRST QUARTER:  MINNESOTA/ST. LOUIS OVER 7 (-120) for 4 units

 

 

1 Comment

  1. Nice homerun on Seattle. Finally that fraud Colin got exposed.

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