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Posted by on Dec 28, 2019 in Blog, Essays | 1 comment

NFL 2019: Week #17

This year marks the 50th anniversary of the 1969 Kansas City Chiefs victory in Super Bowl IV. Remember the Chiefs’ unusual “choir huddle?” This year’s team likely promises to be their best chance in decades to get back to the championship game.  I’m backing the Chiefs big in the final week of the NFL season.  Hoping to sing “Hallelujah!” Here’s my Week #17 write up.

1969 Kansas City Chiefs

 

I’m glad to be in the profit column for the year after suffering through a brutal mid-season slump.  Let’s now close out the regular season strongly with this final slate of wagers and (hopefully) winners.

By the way, I’ve begun contributing original content for an online gambling website, which (appropriately enough) is onlinegambling.com.  Please check it out.

Those of you who like data, trends, and various aspects of handicapping methodology may be interested in these three new articles which I wrote up and posted in the last two days:

KEY BETTING TRENDS FOR NFL WEEK 17

TOTALS ANGLE SUGGESTS FOUR POSSIBLE UNDER WAGERS

HOW TO HANDICAP THE FINAL WEEK OF THE REGULAR SEASON

If you want to know my reasoning for this week’s wagers, much of the content in these articles (links above) will explain.  I’m particularly proud of my work on the UNDER trends, as this took considerable research on my part and (to my knowledge) hasn’t been discovered until now.

 

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2019 NFL WAGERING RECORD

Wins — Losses — Pushes          66 — 57 — 2

Starting Bankroll:   $ 8,398.

Current Bankroll:   $8,966.  (+ $568.)

Last Week’s Results (Week #15):         13 — 4 — 1  (+ $2,050.)

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THIS WEEK’S WAGERS 

This week, I made 12 wagers.

There are 6 teaser bets.  The hub team is the Kansas City Chiefs at -2.5.

There is 1 money line bet.  The Kansas City Chiefs are -380 favorites versus the LA Chargers.

There are also 5 totals bets.  Four bets are “under” based on my research.  One bet is an “over” based on opinion the total is simply too low.

I’m laying a total of $5,125.  Here are all the plays (each teaser is listed at -120 unless noted otherwise/each total is listed at -110 unless noted otherwise):

GREEN BAY / DETROIT UNDER 44 — Risking $275 to win $250

MIAMI / NEW ENGLAND UNDER 45 — Risking $275 to win $250

NEW ORLEANS / CAROLINA UNDER 45 — Risking $275 to win $250

WASHINGTON / DALLAS UNDER 45.5 — Risking $275 to win $250

ATLANTA / TAMPA BAY OVER 47.5 — Risking $275 to win $250

KANSAS CITY (MONEY LINE TO WIN) — Risking $1,950 to win $500

TEASER:  DALLAS -4.5 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

TEASER:  NEW ORLEANS -7 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

TEASER:  NEW ENGLAND -10 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

TEASER:  GREEN BAY -6 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

TEASER:  CINCINNATI +8.5 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

TEASER:  NY JETS +7.5 / KANSAS CITY -2.5 — Risking $300 to win $250

 

BD /SM INVESTMENT GROUP [37 persons Active]

Investor  —- Amount —- Pct. of Total Fund
Heldar $ 211 2.51%
Watanabe $ 100 1.19%
Peter Lucier $ 1,000 11.91%
Kramer $ 302 3.60%
Finbar O’Mahoney $ 200 2.38%
Howler $ 100 1.19%
Linda Keenan $ 500 5.95%
John Pickels $ 100 1.19%
Patrick Kirwan $ 100 1.19%
Sean McGinnis $ 300 3.57%
Jim Anderson $ 252 3.00%
Chad Holloway $ 200 2.38%
Eric Schneller $ 500 5.95%
Randy Collack $ 351 4.18%
Dave Lawful $ 100 1.19%
Paul Harris $ 1,000 11.91%
Dan Goldman $ 51 0.61%
Sharon Goldman $ 51 0.61%
Ken QB $ 102 1.21%
Chuck Weinstock $ 102 1.21%
Peter Taki Caldes $ 102 1.21%
Kenny Shei $ 51 0.61%
Jeff Deitch $ 51 0.61%
Kevin Un $ 128 1.52%
Becca Kerl $ 22 0.26%
Corey Imsdahl $ 102 1.21%
Don Bingo Rieck $ 102 1.21%
Jeff Siegel $ 1,000 11.91%
Stephen Cohen (payment pending) $ 100 1.19%
John Reed $ 114 1.36%
George Wattman $ 51 0.61%
Mickdog Patterson $ 51 0.61%
Larry Lubliner $ 100 1.19%
Grizz Berentsen $ 100 1.19%
Edmund Hack $ 100 1.19%
Bob Feduniak $ 500 5.95%
David “Quick” Horowitz $ 102 1.21%
TOTAL $ 8,398 100.00%

$200 Invested into Pick Contest (outcome pending)

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1 Comment

  1. Is this the end, or will you be continuing thorough the playoffs?

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