2021 NFL WAGERING RECORD
28 Wins — 20 Losses — 1 Push
Starting Bankroll: $10,000.
Current Bankroll: $11,603.
Opinion: Pass Interference Calls are Ruining NFL Games
Something must be done about the NFL’s preposterous PASS INTERFERENCE rules and inconsistency in enforcement. This has been going on for years, but the problem never ends.
PI has become impossible to apply with any metrics of consistency. The game is simply too fast-moving for accuracy. And, there are some horrifically inept officials making critical calls when infractions weren’t committed at all and penalties aren’t warranted.
PI flags are thrown far too often in the NFL, which perhaps is by design since the league wants more offense and points scored, which fans tend to love. The trouble is, this is destroying the impartial outcome of some games.
Consider the fiasco in last week’s Cleveland-LA Chargers game:
Notice the OFFENSIVE PLAYER is grabbing the jersey of the DEFENDER. But guess who got flagged in a last-minute 4TH DOWN and FOUR which basically altered the outcome of the game?
As I said, something must be done about this. The NFL has numerous problems, mostly off-the-field. But when the public thinks winning and losing depends on the whims of an official, confidence and integrity are lost.
Too bad this controversy was overshadowed by the Raiders coaching matter last weekend. This is the problem that will plague the league until something is done to fix it.
Last Week’s Results: 8 wins / 4 losses (+ $1,295)
Week 5 resulted in a nice rebound and the continuation of what’s been a winning season, thus far.
Last weekend produced 8 wins and 4 losses. That’s 8 games above the .500 mark on 49 bets in the NFL’s 2021 regular season. I’ll take those results, and so should you if you’re following along.
So, as things stand at the moment I’m 28-20-1. Here’s a look back.
Game: Atlanta -2.5 vs. NY Jets — Risking $330 to win $300 — WON
Game: Miami +10 vs. Tampa Bay — Risking $330 to win $300 — LOST
First Half: Miami +6.5 vs. Tampa Bay — Risking $220 to win $200 — LOST
Total: Washington/New Orleans OVER 43.5 — Risking $330 to win $300 — WON
First Half: Chicago +3.5 vs. Las Vegas — Risking $330 to win $300 — WON
Game: Cleveland +2.5 vs. LA Chargers — Risking $440 to win $400 — LOST
First Half: Buffalo +2 vs. Kansas City — Risking $330 to win $300 [BEST BET] — WON
First Half Team Total: Buffalo OVER 13.5 (+105) — Risking $300 to win $315 [BEST BET] — WON
First Quarter: Buffalo +1 (-130) — Risking $390 to win $300 — WON
First Quarter Team Total: Buffalo OVER 5.5 (-115) — Risking $345 to win $300 — WON
Total: San Francisco / Arizona OVER 49.5 — Risking $330 to win $300 — LOST
Teaser: Dallas -1 (vs. NY Giants) / Baltimore -1 (vs. Indianapolis) — Risking $480 to win $400 — WON
Now, let’s move on to Week 6.
This article includes the full report for games played on Sunday and Monday.
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2021 NFL WAGERING RECORD
28 Wins — 20 Losses — 1 Push
Starting Bankroll: $10,000.
Current Bankroll: $11,603.
Best Bets: 4 — 2 — 0
Last Week’s Results: + $ 1,295.
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I have made two early bets, so far. Check back later for more plays/updates.
WEEK 6 PREDICTIONS AND PICKS
Denver -3.5 vs. Las Vegas — Risking $550 to win $500 [BEST BET]
The reasoning behind this wager is obvious. The Raiders players and coaches are not only distracted, but they’re also in disarray following the Jon Gruden controversy and resignation early this week. Las Vegas played a horrible game last week, and it’s tough to know how much internal strife over the breaking news at that time contributed to such a lackluster effort at home versus the Bears. Now, following several days of this national controversy, I can’t see the Raiders putting all this behind them so quickly. The tipping point on fading the Raiders being a “Best Bet” is the abrupt change in play-calling. Oddly enough, even though the Raiders have an offensive coordinator, Gruden called all the offensive plays from the sideline. Now, that responsibility shifts to Greg Olson, who last called plays five seasons ago when he was with Jacksonville (not exactly a pedigree resume). Las Vegas will also face one of the NFL’s best defenses on the road in this spot. I don’t see Las Vegas fixing this problem in just a few days. The Raiders have also been a notoriously slow-starting team this season, falling behind by 11+ points in three straight weeks. Denver has lost two straight games, but they did play tough competition — Baltimore followed by Pittsburgh in a desperate situation for the Steelers. At 3-2, the Broncos should rebound here at home with a better effort. Denver’s mediocre offense keeps this number low, as other situations like this might trigger a line of -6 or -7. However, I can’t see how Las Vegas can shake off such a major disruption to the team and go on the road and win at a tough spot for most visitors. So, I’m betting on the Broncos as the Best Bet of the week.
Arizona vs. Cleveland OVER 49.5 — Risking $440 to win $400
Given the two explosive offenses, I’m surprised this total isn’t higher. Here are two of the most prolific passers in the NFL, well over the league average in yardage and points, which indicates a possible shootout. Browns average 29 PPG. Arizona averages 31 PPG. The Browns defense was torched last week for 47 points, badly exposed in the loss. With the undefeated Cardinals coming in, that doesn’t inspire confidence. The Browns will try to run the ball more and should enjoy some success. Nonetheless, I see both teams scoring somewhere in line with their season averages. There are simply too many threats at skill positions on both teams not to play this one OVER the number. Earlier forecasts for rain have cleared, as conditions should be ideal.
Dallas -3 vs. New England (-120) — Laying $480 to win $400
Dallas looks to be the far superior team at the moment, which means this line should be higher. Road favorites are always risky in the NFL, but Dallas is arguably the top offense in the NFL at the moment and is a perfect 5-0 against-the-spread. The Cowboys are probably due for a letdown at some point, but I doubt this is the week given the lackluster Patriots offense which is averaging just 19 PPG. Despite the win, New England didn’t look good at Houston last week, perhaps the NFL’s worst team, and certainly the weakest offense. Now, they face one of the highest-scoring teams in the NFL. I think there’s justification for a wager here, especially at -3 (laying -120) which can still be found in some spots.
THIS WEEK’S BETS (Lay amount/Win amount):
Denver -3.5 vs. Las Vegas — Risking $550 to win $500 [BEST BET]
Arizona vs. Cleveland OVER 50.5 — Risking $440 to win $400
Dallas -3 vs. New England (-120) — Laying $480 to win $400
[3 wagers — $1,470. at risk] MORE PLAYS PENDING