NFL Week 2 — Plays

 

NOLAN DALLA:  2012 POSTED SEASON RECORD 4-8-0 —– (minus 8.8 units)

STARTING BANKROLL:  $10,000

CURRENT BANKROLL:  $9,120

1 UNIT = $100

Bad start with wrong side of New Orleans-Washington game, which killed three big teasers.  Coming back this week with some bigger weapons, making the NY Giants the key team in the wheel of multiple teasers. 

Wagering $4,200 this week.

 

THIS WEEK’S PLAYS:

 

6-POINT TEASER:  NY GIANTS -1 / HOUSTON -1 (5 units)

Giants had ten long days prep-time coming off bitter division loss….stay at home again…..playing inferior team (Tampa) coming off big home divisional win…..”must game” for Giants?  Combine teaser with Houston, which has far too many offensive weapons and a much better defense than its opponent, which could be the NFL’s worst team (Jax)

 

6-POINT TEASER:  NY GIANTS -1 / BALTIMORE +8.5 (3 units)

See notes on Giants above….Combine with solid Ravens team getting all the key Wong teaser numbers.  Phila struggled badly last week, may not be for real….still thinking this is a .500 team that’s hyped…..I’ll take the generous points with what is probably the better team at the moment…..ONE MORE THOUGHT:  BALT bombed in Week 2 last season at TENN after beating PITT in its home opener — similar potential for that here, but I’ve read team was reminded of that this week and that Ravens should be better focused this time, especially versus respected team

 

6-POINT TEASER:  NY GIANTS -1 / INDY +9 (3 units)

See notes on Giants above….Combine with Colts playing first home game with QB Luck, who showed some spark last week in tough road opener at Chicago….much more friendly atmosphere this week versus a weak similarly-matched opponent which won a razor-close game last week at home.  Should be low scoring where the +9 is a comfortable point cushion

 

GAME TOTAL:  MINNESOTA / INDY UNDER 45.5 (2 units)

Two teams in transition….not looking for fast-paced offensive game plan from either team….looks like a 20-17 type of game.  You won’t see a lot of risk taking here….total should probably in the 43 range

 

GAME TOTAL:  CAROLINA / NEW ORLEANS UNDER 51.5 (2 units)

Two dismal efforts by these teams last week….especially on defense…..now, I’m looking for at least one unit to step up big this week with a much better effort….51.5 a huge number for an outdoor game…..which factors big into my play here.  51.5 basically means you needs lots of points by both teams…..I see at least one team staying sluggish this week

 

GAME TOTAL:  WASHINGTON / ST. LOUIS OVER 44.5 (2 units)

I’m convinced Washington is going to produce a lot of points this season, and also give up plenty of points…..another dome game where the track should be fast and plenty of scoring should take place.  Puzzled as to why this total would be lower than the Minnesota-Indy game.

 

GAME TOTAL:  KANSAS CITY / BUFFALO OVER 44.5 (2 units)

Too low by at least three points…..horrific defensive efforts by both teams last week…..early season games in Buffalo tend to play high scoring for some reason with Gailey’s offensive schemes, and I look for this trend to continue.  Buffalo better team than they showed last week, should put up points.

 

FIRST QUARTER BETS:

WASH / STL OVER 7.5 (2 units)

Both teams should throw early and often.

 

CLEVE / CINCY OVER 7 (-125) (3 units)

Love getting a 7 early, especially with two teams hungry for a win

 

CLEVE + .5 (-110) (2 units)

Seems game could go either way early on….saw enough spark from CLEVE defense to think they could give Dalton and Co. some problems

 

BEST BET OF THE DAY —– MIA +.5 (145) (6 units)

Clearly a bet against Oakland wager…..Raiders serious problems on offense and now must travel three time zones east for early game….can’t see how that translates into a lot of early scoring.

 

TEAM TOTAL BETS:

WASHINGTON TEAM OVER 23.5 (3 units)

Taking what appears to be an emerging offense on carpet, getting generous hook off the key number of 24

 

PHILADELPHIA TEAM UNDER 24.5 (2 units)

Not convinced with Eagles yet and now must face one of league’s best defenses…..should be 24 or perhaps lower

 

BALTIMORE TEAM OVER 22 (2 units)

Love getting a win on the 23 with team certainly capable of putting up points….another four interception game by Vick seals this one

 

OAKLAND TEAM UNDER 20.5 ( 3 units)

How is Oakland going to solve their offensive woes in a week, playing an early time zone game in the brutal heat?  Give Janikowski’s leg an extra couple of points, but I see this as a 19-16 game with lots of FGs.

 

 

LAST WEEK’S POSTED PLAYS:

FIRST QUARTER:  NY JETS / BUFFALO OVER 7 —– (1 unit) — WON

FIRST QUARTER:  CLEVELAND +3 (-125) —– (1 unit) — WON

FIRST QUARTER:  JACKSONVILLE / MINNESOTA OVER 7 (-120) —– (1 unit) — LOST

FIRST HALF:  NY JETS / BUFFALO OVER 19.5 —– WON

FIRST HALF:  SEATTLE / ARIZONA OVER 20.5 —– (1 unit) — LOST

FIRST HALF:  NEW ORLEANS -4.5 —– (1 unit) — LOST

6-POINT TEASER:  CHICAGO -3.5 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units) — LOST

6-POINT TEASER:  KANSAS CITY +8.5 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units) — LOST

6-POINT TEASER:  PITTSBURGH +8 / NEW ORLEANS -2.5 —– (2 units) — LOST

GAME:  GREEN BAY -5 —– (1 unit) — LOST

GAME:  CAROLINA / TAMPA UNDER 46 —– (1 unit) — WON

GAME:  SEATTTLE / ARIZONA OVER 41 —– (1 unit) — LOST